Below are a selection of peer reviewed manuscripts. Please see my CV for a complete listing of all publications, and contact me directly if there is anything in particular I can provide.
Besson, E.K., Norris, A., Bin Ghouth, A.S., Freemantle, T., Al-Haffar, M., Vazquez, Y., Reeve, C., Curran, P.J., Checchi, F. (in press). Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic: a geospatial and statistical analysis in Aden governorate, Yemen. BMJ Global Health.
Hussong, A.H., Bauer, D.J., Giordano, M., and Curran, P.J. (in press). Harmonizing altered measures in Integrative Data Analysis: A methods analogue study. Behavior Research Methods. 10.3758/s13428-020-01472-7
Wang, F., Pedersen, S., Joseph, H., Gnagy, E. Curran, P.J., Pelham, W., and Molina, B. (in press). Role of ADHD in the co-occurrence between heavy alcohol use and depression trajectories in adulthood. Alcoholism: Clinical and Experimental Research. doi.org/10.1111/acer.13934
Curran, P. J., Georgeson, A. R., Bauer, D. J., & Hussong, A. M. (2021). Psychometric models for scoring multiple reporter assessments: Applications to integrative data analysis in prevention science and beyond. International Journal of Behavioral Development, 45, 40-50. 10.1177/0165025419896620 [PDF]
Curran, P.J., and Hancock, G.R. (2021). The challenge of modeling co-developmental processes over time. Child Development Perspectives 15, 67-75. http://doi.org/10.1111/cdep.12401 [PDF]
Yang, Y. C., Walsh, C. E., Johnson, M., Belsky, D. W., Reason, M., Curran, P.J., Aiello, A., Chanti-Ketterl, M., & Harris, K.M (2021). Life course trajectories of body mass index from adolescence to old age: Racial and educational disparities. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118, 1-11. 10.1073/pnas.2020167118 [PDF]
Farrell, A.D., Thompson, E.L., Curran, P.J., & Sullivan T. N. (2020). Bidirectional relations between witnessing violence, victimization, life events, and physical aggression among adolescents in urban schools. Journal of Youth and Adolescence, 49, 1309-1327. doi.org/10.1007/s10964-020-01204-2 [PDF]
Hussong, A.M., Gottfredson, N., Bauer, D.J., Curran, P.J., Haroon, M., Chandler, R Delaney, J., Altice, F., Beckwith, C., Feaster, D., Flynn, P., Gordon, M., Knight, K., Kuo, I., Ouellet, L, Quan, V., Seal, D., Springer, S. (2019). Approaches for creating comparable measures of alcohol use symptoms: Harmonization with eight studies of criminal justice populations. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 194, 59-68. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Cole, V.T., Bauer, D.J., Rothenberg, A.W., & Hussong, A.M. (2018). Recovering predictor-criterion relations using covariate-informed factor score estimates. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal. [PDF] [Appendix 1] [Appendix 2]
Pearce, L.D., Hayward, G.M., Chassin, L., & Curran, P.J. (2018). The increasing diversity and complexity of family structures for adolescents. Journal of Research on Adolescence, 28, 591-608. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Cole, V.T., Giordano, M., Georgeson, A.R., Hussong, A.M., & Bauer, D.J. (2018). Advancing the study of adolescent substance use through the use of integrative data analysis. Evaluation and the Health Professions, 41, 216-245. [PDF]
Burns, A.R., Hussong, A.M., Solis, J.M., Curran, P.J., McGinley, J.S., Bauer, D.J., Chassin, L., & Zucker, R.A. (2017). Examining Cohort Effects in Developmental Trajectories of Substance Use. International Journal of Behavioral Development, 41, 621-631. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Cole, V., Bauer, D.J., Hussong, A.M., & Gottfredson, N. (2016). Improving factor score estimation through the use of observed background characteristics. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 23, 827-844. doi: 10.1080/10705511.2016.1220839. [PDF] [Appendix 1] [Appendix 2] [Appendix 3]
McGinley, J.S., Curran, P.J., Hedeker, D. (2015). A novel modeling framework for ordinal data defined by collapsed counts. Statistics in Medicine, 34, 2312-2324. [PDF]
Bainter, S.A., & Curran, P.J. (2015). Advantages of integrative data analysis for developmental research. Journal of Cognition and Development, 16, 1-10. [PDF]
Curran, P.J. (2014). The critical role of measurement (and space elevators) in the study of child development. Journal of Pediatric Psychology, 39, 258-261. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., McGinley, J.S., Bauer, D.J., Hussong, A.M., Burns, A., Chassin, L., Sher, K., & Zucker, R. (2014). A moderated nonlinear factor model for the development of commensurate measures in integrative data analysis. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 49, 214-231. [PDF]
McGinley, J.S., & Curran, P.J. (2014). Validity concerns with multiplying ordinal items defined by binned counts: An application to a quantity-frequency measure of alcohol use. Methodology: European Journal of Research Methods for the Behavioral and Social Sciences, 10, 108-116. [PDF]
Bauer, D., Howard, A., Baldasaro, R., Curran, P.J., Hussong, A., Chassin, L., & Zucker, R. (2013). A trifactor model for integrating ratings across multiple informants. Psychological Methods, 18, 475-493. PMCID: PMC3964937 [PDF]
Chassin, L., Sher, K., Hussong, A.M., & Curran, P.J. (2013). The developmental psychopathology of alcohol use and alcohol disorders: Research achievements and future directions. Development and Psychopathology, 25, 1567-1584. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Howard, A.L., Bainter, S.A., Lane, S.T., & McGinley J.S. (2013). The separation of between-person and within-person components of individual change over time: A latent curve model with structured residuals. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 82, 879-894. [PDF]
Hussong, A.M., Curran, P.J., & Bauer, D.J. (2013). Clinical applications of integrative data analysis. Annual Review of Clinical Psychology, 9, 61-89. [PDF]
Lane, S.L., Franklin, J.C., & Curran, P.J. (2013). Clarifying the nature of startle habituation using latent curve models. International Journal of Psychophysiology, 88, 55-63. [PDF]
Hussong, A.M., Huang, W., Serrano, D., Curran, P.J., & Chassin, L. (2012). Testing whether and when parent alcoholism uniquely affects various forms of adolescent substance use. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 40, 1265-1276. [PDF]
Molina, B., Pelham, W., Cheong, J-W., Marshal, M., Gnagy, E., & Curran, P.J. (2012). Childhood ADHD and growth in adolescent alcohol use: The roles of functional impairments, ADHD symptom persistence, and parental knowledge. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 121, 922-935. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., & Bauer, D.J. (2011). The disaggregation of within-person and between-person effects in longitudinal models of change. Annual Review of Psychology, 62, 583-619. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Obeidat, K., & Losardo, D. (2010). Twelve frequently asked questions about growth curve modeling. Journal of Cognition and Development, 11, 121-136. PMCid: 3131138 [PDF]
Hussong, A.M., Huang, W., Curran, P.J., Chassin, L., & Zucker, R.A. (2010). Parent alcoholism impacts the severity and timing of children’s externalizing symptoms. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 38, 367-380. [PDF]
Curran, P.J. (2009). The seemingly quixotic pursuit of a cumulative psychological science: Introduction to the special issue. Psychological Methods, 14, 77-80. PMCid: 2766595 [PDF]
Curran, P.J., & Hussong, A.M. (2009). Integrative data analysis: The simultaneous analysis of multiple data sets. Psychological Methods, 14, 81-100. PMCid: 2777640 [PDF]
Chassin, L., Presson, C., Seo, D.-C., Sherman, S.J., Macy, J. Wirth, R.J., & Curran, P.J. (2008). Multiple trajectories of cigarette smoking and the intergenerational transmission of smoking: A multigenerational longitudinal study of a Midwestern community sample. Health Psychology, 27, 819-828. [PDF]
Chen, F., Curran, P.J., Bollen, K.A., Kirby, J., and Paxton, P. (2008). An empirical evaluation of the use of fixed cutoff points in RMSEA test statistic in structural equation models. Sociological Methods and Research, 36, 462-494. [PDF]
Coffman, J. L., Ornstein, P. A., McCall, L. E., & Curran, P. J. (2008). Linking teachers’ memory-relevant language and the development of children’s memory skills. Developmental Psychology, 44, 1640-1654. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Hussong, A.M., Cai, L., Huang, W., Chassin, L., Sher, K.J., & Zucker, R.A. (2008). Pooling data from multiple longitudinal studies: The role of item response theory in integrative data analysis. Developmental Psychology, 44, 365-380. PMCid: 2894156 [PDF]
Flora, D.B., Curran, P.J., Hussong, A.M., & Edwards, M.C. (2008). Incorporating measurement non-equivalence in a cross-study latent growth curve analysis. Structural Equation Modeling, 15, 676-704. PMCid: 2772080 [PDF]
Hussong, A.M., Cai, L., Curran, P.J., Flora, D.B., Chassin, L., & Zucker, R.A. (2008). Disaggregating the distal, proximal, and time-varying effects of parent alcoholism on children’s internalizing symptoms. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 36, 335-346. PMCid: 2785434 [PDF]
Hussong, A.M., Flora, D.B., Curran, P.J., Chassin, L.A., Zucker, R.A. (2008). Defining risk heterogeneity for internalizing symptoms among children of alcoholic parents. Development and Psychopathology, 20, 165-193. PMCid: 2249558 [PDF]
Bollen, K.A., Kirby, J.B., Curran, P.J., Paxton, P.M., & Chen, F. (2007). Latent variable models under misspecification: A comparison of Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) to Full Information Maximum Likelihood estimators (FIML). Sociological Methods and Research, 36, 48-86. [PDF]
Hussong, A.M., Wirth, R.J., Edwards, M.C., Curran, P.J., Zucker, R.A., & Chassin, L.A. (2007). Externalizing symptoms among children of alcoholic parents: Entry points for an antisocial pathway to alcoholism. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 116, 529-542. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., & Bauer, D.J. (2007). Building path diagrams for multilevel models. Psychological Methods, 12, 283-297. [PDF]
Preacher, K.J., Curran, P.J., & Bauer, D.J. (2006). Computational tools for probing interactions in multiple linear regression, multilevel modeling, and latent curve analysis. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 31, 437-448. [PDF]
Bauer, D.J., & Curran, P.J. (2005). Probing interactions in fixed and multilevel regression: Inferential and graphical techniques. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 40, 373-400. [PDF]
Bauer, D.J., & Curran, P.J. (2004). The integration of continuous and discrete latent variable models: Potential problems and promising opportunities. Psychological Methods, 9, 3-29. [PDF]
Biesanz, J.C., Deeb-Sossa, N., Aubrecht, A.M., Bollen, K.A., & Curran, P.J. (2004). The role of coding time in estimating and interpreting growth curve models. Psychological Methods, 9, 30-52. [PDF]
Bollen, K.A., & Curran, P.J. (2004). Autoregressive latent trajectory (ALT) models: A synthesis of two traditions. Sociological Methods and Research, 32, 336-383. [PDF]
Carrig, M., Wirth, R.J., & Curran, P.J. (2004). A SAS macro for estimating and visualizing individual growth curves. Structural Equation Modeling: An Interdisciplinary Journal, 11, 132-149. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Bauer, D.J., & Willoughby, M.T. (2004). Testing and probing main effects and interactions in latent curve analysis. Psychological Methods, 9, 220-237. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., & Wirth, R.J. (2004). Inter-individual differences in intra-individual variation: Balancing internal and external validity. Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2, 219-227. PMCID: PMC3131143 [PDF]
Flora, D.B., & Curran, P.J. (2004). An empirical evaluation of alternative methods of estimation for confirmatory factor analysis with ordinal data. Psychological Methods, 9, 466-491. PMCid: 3153362 [PDF]
Hipp, J., Bauer, D.J., Curran, P. J. & Bollen, K. A. (2004). Crimes of opportunity or crimes of emotion: Testing two explanations of seasonal change in crime. Social Forces, 82, 1333-1372. [PDF]
Hussong, A.M., Curran, P.J., Moffitt, T.E., Caspi, A., & Carrig, M.M. (2004). Substance abuse hinders desistance in young adults’ antisocial behavior. Development and Psychopathology, 16, 1029-1046. [PDF]
Bauer, D.J., & Curran, P.J. (2003-a). Distributional assumptions of growth mixture models: Implications for overextraction of latent trajectory classes. Psychological Methods, 8, 338-363. [PDF]
Bauer, D.J., & Curran, P.J. (2003-b). Overextraction of latent trajectory classes: Much ado about nothing? Psychological Methods, 8, 384-393. [PDF]
Curran, P.J. (2003). Have multilevel models been structural equation models all along? Multivariate Behavioral Research, 38, 529-569. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Bollen, K.A., Chen, F., Paxton, P., & Kirby, J. (2003). The finite sampling properties of the RMSEA: Point estimates and confidence intervals. Sociological Methods and Research, 32, 208-252. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., and Hussong, A.M. (2003). The use of latent trajectory models in psychopathology research. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 112, 526-544. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., and Willoughby, M.J. (2003). Reconciling theoretical and statistical models of developmental processes. Development and Psychopathology, 15, 581-612. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Bollen, K.A., Paxton, P., Kirby, J., & Chen, F. (2002). The noncentral chi-square distribution in misspecified structural equation models: Finite sample results from a Monte Carlo simulation. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 37, 1-36. [PDF]
Kaplow, J.B., Curran, P.J., Dodge, K., and the Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group (2002). Child, parent, and peer predictors of early-onset substance use: A multi-site longitudinal study. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 30, 199-216. PMCid: 2758661 [PDF]
Rodebaugh, T.L., Curran, P.J., & Chambless, D.L. (2002). Expectancy of panic in the maintenance of daily anxiety in panic disorder with agoraphobia: A longitudinal test of competing models. Behavior Therapy, 33, 315-336. [PDF]
Chen, F., Bollen, K.A., Paxton, P., Curran, P.J., & Kirby, J. (2001). Improper solutions in structural equation models: Causes, consequences, and strategies. Sociological Methods and Research, 29, 468-508. [PDF]
Hussong, A.M., Hicks, R.E., Levy, S.A., & Curran, P.J. (2001). Specifying the relations between affect and heavy alcohol use among young adults. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 110, 449-461. [PDF]
Kaplow, J.B., Curran, P.J., & Costello, E.J. (2001). The prospective relation between dimensions of anxiety and the initiation of adolescent alcohol use. Journal of Clinical Child Psychology, 30, 316-326. [PDF]
Paxton, P., Curran, P.J., Bollen, K.A., Kirby, J., & Chen, F. (2001). Monte Carlo experiments: Design and implementation. Structural Equation Modeling, 8, 287-312. [PDF]
Willoughby, M.T., Curran, P.J., Costello, E.J. & Angold, A. (2000). Implications of early versus late onset of Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder symptomatology. Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, 39, 1512-1519. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., & Muthén, B.O. (1999). The application of latent curve analysis to testing developmental theories in intervention research. American Journal of Community Psychology, 27, 567-595. [PDF]
Lengua, L. J., Sandler, I. N., West, S. G., Wolchik, S. A. & Curran, P.J. (1999). Emotionality and self-regulation, threat appraisal and coping in children of divorce. Development and Psychopathology, 11, 15-37. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Muthén, B.O., & Harford, T.C. (1998). The influence of changes in marital status on developmental trajectories of alcohol use in young adults. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 59, 647-658. [PDF]
Hussong, A. M., Curran, P.J., & Chassin, L. (1998). Pathways of risk for children of alcoholics’ accelerated heavy alcohol use. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 26, 453-466. [PDF]
Curran, P.J. (1997). Two shorts make a long. Popular Woodworking, 97, 28. [PDF]
(I’m pretty sure this is my most useful publication of the bunch)
Colder, C. R., Chassin, L., Stice, E. M., & Curran, P.J. (1997). Alcohol expectancies as potential mediators of parent alcoholism effects on the development of adolescent heavy drinking. Journal of Research on Adolescence, 7, 349-374. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Stice, E. & Chassin, L. (1997). The relation between adolescent and peer alcohol use: A longitudinal random coefficients model. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 65, 130-140. [PDF]
Mueser, K., Curran, P.J., and McHugo, G. (1997). Factor structure of the Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale in schizophrenia. Psychological Assessment, 9, 196-204. [PDF]
Muthén, B.O., & Curran, P.J. (1997). General longitudinal modeling of individual differences in experimental designs: A latent variable framework for analysis and power estimation. Psychological Methods, 2, 371–402. [PDF]
Chassin, L., Curran, P.J., Hussong, A.M., & Colder, C.R. (1996). The relation of parent alcoholism to adolescent substance use: A longitudinal follow-up study. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 105, 70-80. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., & Chassin, L. (1996). A longitudinal study of parenting as a protective factor for children of alcoholics. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 57, 305-313. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., Harford, T.C., & Muthén, B.O. (1996). The relation between heavy alcohol use and bar patronage: A latent growth model. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 57, 410-418. [PDF]
Curran, P.J., West, S.G., & Finch, J. (1996). The robustness of test statistics to non-normality and specification error in confirmatory factor analysis. Psychological Methods, 1, 16-29. [PDF]
Sayers, S., Curran, P.J., & Mueser, K. (1996). Factor structure and construct validity of the Scale for the Assessment of Negative Symptoms. Psychological Assessment, 8, 269-280. [PDF]
Molina, B., Chassin, L., & Curran, P.J. (1994). A comparison of mechanisms underlying substance use for early adolescent children of alcoholics and controls. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 55, 269-275. [PDF]
Chassin, L., Pillow, D.R., Curran, P.J., Molina, B.G., & Barrera, M. (1993). The relation of parent alcoholism to adolescent substance use: A test of three mediating mechanisms. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 102, 3-19. [PDF]
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